WORKING  PAPER  SITES  OF  POLITICAL  SCIENCE
Political Methodology & Data

 
*Category placement is based on papers actually online rather than the author's research interests.
 
 
Micah Altman
Harvard University.  Titles include
"Reasonable Reckoning Regarding Regression Replication";
"Dividing Light from Dark: Quantitative Standards for Detecting Gerrymanders";  and
"Comparing Assembly-based and Candidate-based Procedures: Comments on "Social Choice in a Representative Democracy."
 
Thad Beyle
University of North Carolina.  Data include
"Gubernatorial Campaign Expenditures Database";  and
"Job Approval Ratings."
 
Don Dillman
Washington State University.  Titles include
"The Influence Words, Symbols, Numbers, and Graphics on Answers to Self-Administered Questionnaires: Results from 18 Experimental Comparisons";
"Some Observations on Survey Methodology in the Early 21st Century";
"Response Rate and Measurement Differences in Mixed Mode Surveys Using Mail, Telephone, Interactive Voice Response and the Internet";
"Structural Determinants of Mail Survey Response Rates Over a 12 Year Period: 1988~1999";
"An Experimental Evaluation of Left and Right Oriented Screens for Web Questionnaires";
"Visual Design Effects on Item Nonresponse to a Question About Work Satisfaction That Precedes the Q-12 Agree-Disagree Items";
"Procedures for Conducting Government- Sponsored Establishment Surveys: Comparisons of the Total Design Method (TDM), A Traditional Cost-Compensation Model, and Tailored Design";
"The Web Questionnaire Challenge to Survey Methodologists";  and
"Influence of Type of Question on Skip Pattern Compliance in Self-Administered Questionnaires."
 
Rob Eisinga
University of Nijmegen, Netherlands.  Titles include
"Ecological panel inference from repeated cross sections" (2003);
"Bayesian estimation of transition probabilities from repeated cross sections" (2002);
"Inferring transition probabilities from repeated cross sections" (2002);
"Estimating transition probabilities from a time series of independent cross sections" (2001);
"Explaining the relationship between Christian religion and anti-Semitism in the Netherlands" (2000);
"Forecasting long memory left-right political orientations" (1999);
"Economic outcomes and voting behavior in a multi-party system: An application to the Netherlands" (1999);
"Christian religion and ethnic prejudice in cross-national perspective: A comparative analysis of the Netherlands and Flanders (Belgium)" (1999);  and
"Documentation of a national survey on religious and secular attitudes in 1995" (1999).
 
David Garson
North Carolina State University.  Book titles include
"Statnotes: An online textbook."
 
Alexander George and Andrew Bennett
Arizona  State University.  Titles include
"Causal Inference in Case Studies: From Mill's Methods to Causal Mechanisms";
"Research Design Tasks in Case Study Methods";
"Process Tracing in Case Study Methods";
"Lost in the Translation: Big N Misinterpretations of Case Study Research";
"Lost in the Translation: Big N Misinterpretations of Case Study Research";
"Developing and Using Typological Theories in Case Study Research";
"The Role of the Congruence Method for Case Study Research";  and
"Case Study Methods and Research on the Democratic Peace."
John Gerring
Boston University. Titles include
"Are Parliamentary Systems Better?: A Crossnational Analysis";
"Are Unitary Systems Better than Federal Systems?: A Global Analysis";
"Case-Selection Techniques in Case Study Research: A Menu of Qualitative and Quantitative Options";
"Collegiality: A Hidden Factor in Constitutional Governance";
"Comparability: A Key Issue in Research Design";
"Democracy and Economic Growth: A Historical Perspective - Data Set";
"Democracy and Human Development";
"Do Neoliberal Policies Save Lives? A Crossnational Analysis";
"Electoral Reform and the Policy Process, an Iterated Natural Experiment [NSF proposal]";
"An Experimental Template for Case-Study Research";  and
"Global Justice as an Empirical Question."
 
Mark Handcock
University of Washington.  Book data include
"A Casebook for a First Course in Statistics and Data Analysis";  and
"Relative Distribution Methods in the Social Sciences."
 
David Hendry
University of Oxford. Titles include
"Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Policy Regime Shifts" (2002);
"Regression Models with Data-based Indicator Variables" (2004);
"Model Identification and Non-unique Structure" (2002);
"Unpredictability and the Foundations of Economic Forecasting" (2004); and
"Robustifying Forecasts from Equilibrium-Correction Models" (2004).
 
Gary King
Harvard University.  Titles include
"Enhancing the Validity and Cross-cultural Comparability of Survey Research";
"The Ordinary Election of Adolf Hitler: A Modern Voting Behavior Approach";
A Consensus on Second Stage Analyses in Ecological Inference Models";
"What to do When Your Hessian is Not Invertible: Alternatives to Model Respecification in Nonlinear Estimation";
"The Future of Replication";
"An Automated Information Extraction Tool For International Conflict Data with Performance as Good as Human Coders: A Rare Events Evaluation Design";
"Improving Forecasts of  State Failure";
"When Can History be Our Guide? The Pitfalls of Counterfactual Inference";
"Rethinking Human Security";
"Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data";  and
"Estimating Risk and Rate Levels, Ratios, and Differences in Case-Control Studies."
 
David Lane
Rice University.   Book titles include
"Hyperstat."
 
Alex Liu
Stanford University.  Titles include
"Index Correlation and Reliability of Democracy Measurements" (2003);  and
"Political Participation and Satisfaction with Democracy in New Democracies" (2001).
 
Jun Liu
Harvard University.  Categories include
Gibbs sampling;  Bayesian data problems;  Siegel's formula;  Peskun's Theorem;  data augmentation;  sequential Monte Carlo methods;  and split sampling.
 
Scott de Marchi
Duke University.  Papers are in the left frame of the screen.   Titles include
"A Comparison of Logit Regression, Neural Networks, and Non-Parametric Estimation Techniques applied to International Relations data sets";
"Measures of Electoral Heterogeneity";  and
"Bargaining and Complex Preferences: Examining the Case of the Israeli Electorate."
 
Brian Pollins
Ohio State University.   Titles include
"Dynamic Modeling for Persistent Event Count Time Series."
Data include
"Comparison of Lagged Poisson and PEWMA Results."
 
Philip Roeder
University of California.  Data include
"Clash of Civilizations and Escalation of Ethnopolitical Conflicts, 1980-1999";  and 
"Ethnolinguistic Fractionalization  Indices for 1961 and 1985."
 
Philip Schrodt
University of Kansas.  Titles include
"Automated Coding of International Event Data Using Sparse Parsing Techniques";
"Forecasting Conflict in the Balkans using Hidden Markov Models";
"Analyzing the Dynamics of International Mediation Processes in the Middle East and the former Yugoslavia";
"Potentials and Pitfalls in the Application of Event Data to the Study of International Mediation";
"Detecting United States Mediation Styles in the Middle East, 1979-1998";
"The Impact of Early Warning on Institutional Responses to Complex Humanitarian Crises";
"An Event Data Set for the Arabian/Persian Gulf Region 1979-1997";
"Early Warning of Conflict in Southern Lebanon using Hidden Markov Models";
"Pattern Recognition of International Crises using Hidden Markov Models";  and
"Using Cluster Analysis to Derive Early Warning Indicators for Political Change in the Middle East, 1979-1996."
 
Schuman, Steeh, Bobo, and Krysan
Data include
"Racial Attitudes in America: Trends and Interpretation."
 
Ken Shan
Harvard University.  Titles include
"Hierarchical Distributed Election Protocols" (1997).
 
Bob Sherman
California Institute of Technology.  Titles include
"An equivalence result for VC classes of sets";
"Some convergence theory for stochastic iterative procedures";
"Nonparametric analysis of mixture models with verification";
"Rank estimators for a transformation model";
"Shift restrictions and semiparametric estimation in ordered response models";
"Tests of certain types of nonresponse in surveys subject to item nonresponse and attrition";
"Conditions for convergence of monte-carlo EM sequences with an application to diffusion modeling";
"Learning from experience to improve early forecasts: a bayesian maximum likelihood approach";
"Rank estimators for monotonic index models";
"Estimating new product demand from biased survey data";  and
"Maximal inequalities for degenerate U-processes with applications to optimization estimators."
 
Curtis Signorino
University of Rochester.  Titles include
"Strategic Misspecification in Discrete Choice Models";
"Theoretical Sources of Uncertainty in Discrete Choice Models";
"A Unified Theory and Test of Extended Immediate Deterrence";
"Strategy and Selection in International Relations";  and
"Aggregation Among Binary, Count, and Duration Models: Estimating the Same Quantities from Different Levels of Data."
 
Richard Timpone
Ohio State University.   Data include
"Presidency and Supreme Court."
Book titles include
"Computational Modeling."
 
Richard Tucker
Vanderbilt University.  Data include
"The Similarity of UN Policy Positions, 1946-96" (1999);
"The Clash of Civilizations, 1816-1997" (1999);
"The Interstate Dyad-Year Dataset, 1816-1997" (1998).
Titles include
"Taking Time Seriously in Binary Time-Series--Cross-Section Analysis" (1998);
"A Tale of Two Democratic Peace Critiques" (1997);
"Bewitched, Bothered, and Bewildered: A Reply to Farber and Gowa, and Mansfield and Snyder" (1997);
"Dyad-Hard: The Interstate Dyad-Year Dataset Creator" (1997);
"The Robustness of the Dyadic Democratic Peace Result" (1999);  and
"Democracy and Peace: General Law or Limited Phenomenon?" (1998).

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